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Go forward to more recent blurbs.

4/30 - The final day of April. Anyone ready to yell "Mayday!" yet?

Among yesterday's starting pitchers, the top three TSN Ultimate price gainers were Adam Eaton, Roger Clemens, and Jason Johnson. The three combined for only 66 TSNP, of which Johnson contributed +88. There were some better starts yesterday; it just appears that not many teams found them. The top result was Mark Redman's 132 TSNP against Arizona, his second consecutive strong outing. Six other pitchers posted 3-digit results, but their aggregate price gain for Tuesday was -$30K, which doesn't mean that nobody owned them. It just means that their ownership hasn't changed much in the past 5 days.

For those of you who might be despairing because of a slow start: it's still early! Last year, one of my TSN teams was 2000 TSNP out of 1st place in its division in mid-June. That team ended up winning by a margin of 3000 TSNP! So there is still plenty of time to recover. Still, I seem to be testing the extremes of recoverability more and more each season.

4/29 - Two games. Two home runs. Two pitching gems. Not much else.

With the season now 4 weeks old, there seem to be several distinctive characteristics in this year's TSN game.

• If you're paying up for pitching, you're probably not getting top performance. Of the top five pitchers in total TSNP, only one costs more than $5 million, and that's Mike Mussina. Pedro ranks #10, although with some bullpen support, he could be around #5. The early dominance of guys like Runelvys Hernandez, Esteban Loaiza, and Shawn Chacon has caused a great degree of convergence in pitching rosters.
• Conversely, there haven't been many cheap hitters that have provided consistent returns, either in points or gains. Alfonso Soriano has been the hitting stud so far, more than 100 TSNP ahead of Todd Helton. Hank Blalock is on a lot of rosters, but he only ranks #41 among all hitters. Marcus Giles is the only hitter under $2 million ranked in the top 25 in total TSNP.

4/28 - There was no shortage of oddities in baseball yesterday.

Start off with a no-hitter by Kevin Millwood. Add a 20-inning game between Florida and St. Louis - a game that featured 8 runs scored in the 9th inning, and then nothing for the next 10. KC's Mike MacDougal blew his first save of the year. A Yankee starter, Jeff Weaver, got roughed up.

And then there were some very typical happenings. The Red Sox "c-losing committee" blew another win for Pedro. Esteban Loaiza notched his fifth 3-digit TSNP start. Randy Johnson struck out 12 batters in 6 innings. Detroit lost.

There's plenty of time for the dust to settle today, with only two games scheduled, both late starts on the west coast. Florida is no doubt glad that, if they have to play today, at least they get to wait until late tonight.

4/25 - Two pitchers named "Mark" had starts yesterday. Apparently, opposing hitters never found their mark, as both tossed complete game victories. Mulder garnered 162 TSNP for his gem; Redman wasn't far behind with 152.

San Diego just completed a remarkable series in Chicago. The scored only two runs in each of the three games, yet they won two of them. Tough losses for Kerry Wood and Matt Clement, who deserved better fates.

TSN sent out Ultimate Hoops prize forms via email earlier this week. If you think you were eligible for a prize, make sure you check the appropriate email account. You only get 15 days to respond.

4/24 - Both Kerry Wood and Barry Zito appeared to have favorable matchups. Both were pitching at home, facing teams with losing records, and teams without much recent success against opposing starters. Detroit has allowed opposing starters an average of 81 TSNP per game for the whole season, while San Diego had been comparably kind over the past week (during which time they even played 3 games in Coors Field).

And Wood and Zito both did pitch reasonably well. Just not good enough to win, as they were outdueled by the top pitchers of the day, Adam Eaton and Jeremy Bonderman, each with 140 TSNP. As the saying goes, that's why they play the games on the field.

Today's slate offers six afternoon games, so those of you who work for a living have plenty of opportunities for diversions.

4/23 - There must have been a power outage last night. On Monday, in only four games, a total of 15 home runs were hit, with 3 players each contributing a pair. Last night, with a full slate of 15 games, only 20 players went yard, and none more than once. Even so, only five pitchers reached 3-digit TSNPs, headed by Esteban Loaiza, who now seems destined to be the next runaway price train. Who would have thought that, after a little more than 3 weeks, the leading overall TSNP producer would be Loaiza? But that's where he is, almost 20 TSNP ahead of Runelvys Hernandez, and with one less start than Hernandez as well. In four starts this season, Loaiza's worst result was 101 TSNP in his opener against the Tigers.

Go figure.

4/22 - There were only four games yesterday, but they offered a little bit of everything. We had a complete game, a combined shutout, and 15 home runs, including three players who each hit 2 homers.

Today, we're back to a full slate, weather permitting, with everything taking place under the lights.

Thus far, in the TSN Ultimate game, there are four players who have appreciated at least $1 million. Runelvys Hernandez tops the list at just under $2 million, and if your team is one of the approximately 50% that owns him, you'll want to consider tonight's result very carefully. Mike MacDougal ranks second, up $1.7 million. The other two are Hank Blalock and Mark Prior, who are each up a little more than $1 million each. Don't assume that the latter two have a lot of room left for appreciation, however, as they were both more heavily drafted than the two K.C. pitchers, thereby limiting their upside. I'm not saying it's necessarily time to sell any of the four yet. I'm just suggesting that their price coils are tightly wound, and could release a lot of energy if/when released. If you own any of them, pay attention.

4/21 - I occasionally look up the top baseball producers over the weekend. This weekend, the top 8 in TSNP were all pitchers, which is rather unusual. And the top hitter was someone who I hadn't even noticed. Jay Payton quietly and consistently put up weekend games of 44-31-48, a total of 123 TSNP. Right behind was Carols Lee, with a weekend series of 28-53-41, totaling 122 TSNP. Neither shows any evidence of material ownership in the TSN game. Lee is mired in gravity, while Payton shows only slight activity.

Remember that today's TSN freeze is at 11am, since the Red Sox have their annual early-starting Patriot's Day game. If you haven't made your trades by 11, then just wait a day. All told, there are only 4 games today, all in the American League, and three in the early afternoon. Sounds like a good afternoon to goof off at work.

4/18 - Indulge me for some more Hoops recaps.

Congrats to the EuruGurupies division which wrested the top division title from the GuruPatron division with a strong final charge. Staying on top of NBA developments has to be more difficult when you're an ocean removed, in spite of power of the internet. A very impressive showing! The #3 ranked division, Puget Sound Fantasy League, is also manned by Gurupies, as is the 4th place division, the perennially strong RotoGuru Belly. My point is not to suggest that RotoGuru.com is essential to successful team management. It is simply that successful managers use RotoGuru.com.

This morning, I posted a recap of my banner year in the PROFL Experts League. Unfortunately, about all I get for that is bragging rights. Still, it was a very satisfying achievement. Next year, I'll be returning as the Hoops manager, which will be the anchor leg of the four-sport RotoGuru team. If I can do 80% as well next time around, it will still be a great year.

Progressive Sports Challenge announced a free Hoops playoff game, with 30 trades and no ability to buy extra trades. If you want a free game with a level playing field, this is a good choice. Just be reminded that, as I mentioned earlier, I won't be producing NBA playoff stats this spring. You're on your own.

4/17 - You've got to feel a little bad for the Timberwolves. They finally get a home court advantage for a playoff series. And then they get to face the Lakers.

It was fun to reclaim the top spot in the TSN Ultimate Hoops game. I also won it in 1997-98, but that was 5 years ago, and the game's structure has changed a lot since then. While I've generally been competitive in the intervening years, it's been abundantly clear that winning requires a combination of preparation, perspiration, inspiration, and some occasional dumb luck. So it's really nice when lightning strikes twice, especially given the caliber of the competition, which I think is much stronger today than it was 5 years ago.

Looking back on the long season, here was my opening draft:
Guards: Arenas, Bobby Jackson, Bonzi Wells, McGrady
Forwards: Garnett, Murphy, Gooden, Miles
Center: Gadzuric, Loren Woods

Some good, some not so. Bonzi was an early bust, as was Miles. The centers were OK for awhile, but both turned out to be total non-factors as the season progressed. The team stumbled for the first month or so, entering December with a ranking of only 330, and with a total franchise value of $55.61, which was respectable, but not a $value leader by any stretch.

By January 1, I'd moved up to a ranking of 72, and with 11 trades in reserve, I was well poised for the new year. My franchise value only ranked 29th among listed Gurupies, however. I was hoping for a top 25 finish, but loftier aspirations seemed out of reach.

January was very, very good to me. By February 1st, I had risen to a ranking of #6, and my franchise value, while still more than $1 million below the wealthiest teams, now ranked 6th in the Gurupie rankings. I was down to only 2 remaining trades, but those extra trade expenditures in January must have been potent. As I recall, there were simply a lot of opportunities to pick up multiple extra games that month, and with a lot of trades in reserve, I was able to capitalize on many of them.

In mid-February, I peaked a couple of times at the #2 ranking, once within a scant 15 TSNP of the top spot. But getting there is only half the battle. Maintaining the pace is just as difficult, and by March 1st things were coming a bit unglued. I had just picked up Elton Brand in time for his string of DNPs, and although things never completely fell apart, my ranking was back into the teens a week later. At that point I pretty much lost hope for a run at the top spot, as I was more than 350 TSNP behind the leader.

But somehow, I made it back to the #2 spot just 12 days later, having made up more than 200 TSNP on the leader over that period. And I had a significant value advantage over rockafellerskank, who was leading at the time. Suddenly, I began to smell possibilities, after almost having shrugged the season off.

I became highly analytical down the stretch, continually plotting out my prospective trading plans for the balance of the season, and watching the moves of those around me, and particularly rfs. Obviously, my trading plans were revised many times. Sometimes, I felt like I had the upper hand; sometimes, I thought rfs was going to pull it out. When we got to the final 2 weeks, I could see that the title was mine to blow - which was a very possible scenario. The end-game was mostly one of tracking, matching when viable, and conserving trades until the last moment, keeping flexibility intact, and protecting against the untimely injuries. The late fall of Vince Carter and Ben Wallace helped me a lot, as I had enough trades available to adjust immediately. While that didn't turn out to be the final margin, it did help to provide enough cushion to allow me to play a prevent defense during the final days. I still feared the quirks of the final night, but fortunately managed to avoid Duncan, McGrady, Davis, and the other last night DNPs.

Believe it our not, I actually owned Robert Pack for 12 days! So it is possible to succeed in spite of occasional irrational exuberance.

Congratulations to all Gurupies who finished well. Special kudos to Gurupie rockafellerskank, who held on to the second spot in spite of being at a wealth disadvantage to most of the contenders down the stretch. He certainly made the most of his value, and was a very worthy adversary right down to the wire.

I also managed to win the PROFL Experts Basketball league this year, but I'll wait until tomorrow to comment on that remarkable season.

4/16 - Aack! I got so wrapped up in assessing the possibilities for my final roster moves in TSN Ultimate Hoops that I completely forgot about today's blurb. Thankfully, the fat lady sings tonight. Trying to keep tabs on various hoops teams and baseball teams is simply more than my aging cranium can accommodate for long.

While (knock on wood) the top spot looks secure - barring a meltdown of Jurassic proportions, the battle for #2-#5 (and beyond) is very much up for grabs. Good luck to all of the Gurupies involved in those tussles - and most of them are Gurupies. In fact, of the top 6 teams, there is only one who hasn't appeared at the message forum, and it wouldn't surprise me if he's been lurking (or perhaps posting incognito). That doesn't mean that I think RotoGuru exposure is essential to successful play in TSN Hoops; I just don't know why any serious player would not take advantage of the tools and advice provided by this site and by the RotoGuru community at large.

Now it's time to address my baseball wreckage. About the best thing I can say for my early TSN performance is that I've conserved some pitching trades. Nevertheless, I don't feel like I've managed my hitting or pitching trades to any great advantage. Every move seemed non-stupid at the time, but with the benefit of 20/20 hindsight, I haven't made any inspirational moves so far. And there are just 24 weeks left to recover. I guess I won't get too despondent yet. April was never my best baseball month, anyway.

4/15 - Mark Prior may not have lived up to expectations last night, but he didn't give up 10 runs either - which is a relief, since the Cubs did surrender 11. Ismael Valdes turned out to be the only pitcher to post studly results last night, blanking the Angels for 8 innings. From the looks of it, though, nobody had him. Not surprising, since his previous outing was a stinker.

In the NBA, San Antonio joined the list of teams with nothing at stake on Wednesday night. But there are still a handful of teams with incentives to win tomorrow. Some of those situations will probably change after tonight's results, so don't make tomorrow's hoops moves before evaluating tonight's impacts. For breaking developments, see this thread at the hoops forum.

Note to those who qualified for prizes in the Market Madness contest: I still have not sent out prize notifications. I've just had too many other distractions during the past week. Hopefully, once fantasy hoops ends, I'll be able to attend to this. Please be patient. I fully expect to have prizes out by the end of April.

I'm also backlogged on RotoGuru Hall of Fame inductions. I'm now planning a big enshrinement class in early May, encompassing football, hockey, and basketball inductees.

4/14 - Speaking of buzzsaws, did anyone find the magical rotation of Johnson to Pedro to Zito? That studly trio would have netted you -243 TSNP. Sadly, both Randy and Zito are on the RotoGuru team in the PROFL experts league, so our strategy of pitching dominance took a cruel turn. Who'd've thunk it?

It looks like there is no safe pitching strategy this year. Schilling's 50 TSNP yesterday looks comparatively solid, but his best this year was a 54. And after two 3-digit outings, Oswalt lucked out with a +5 TSNP result, as 5 of his allowed runs were unearned.

In the NBA, all playoff teams are now decided after Phoenix claimed the final spot in the West, although seeding is still up for grabs. Since home court advantage - for one or more rounds - is still at stake, there are still a few teams with a big incentive to win. Be aware of those teams, as well as those who may be content to let their stars rest this week. Among those teams still pushing are (I think) New Jersey, Philly, Detroit, Indiana, New Orleans, San Antonio, Dallas, Minnesota, Portland, and the Lakers. I'm not sure how all of the tiebreakers shake out, so it's possible that some of those teams have less to play for than it looks like, and perhaps there are other teams that should also be on the list. But it appears that a few teams - including Boston, Orlando, Milwaukee, Utah, and Phoenix - have little at stake.

4/11 - The battle for NBA playoff positioning is still at the forefront for some teams. The Nets, Detroit, and Philly are battling for the top seed in the East. Even Indy has a long shot at the top spot if the others falter. In the West, San Antonio and Dallas are vying for the top spot, while the Lakers could now finish as high as 4th, getting home court advantage in the first round, probably vs. Portland. How badly do you suppose the Spurs and Mavs are rooting for the Lakers to finish either 4th or 5th? If so, that might actually benefit the loser of the Spurs/Mavs race, as the winner would probably get the Lakers in the second round, rather than the conference finals - if that really matters. The way the Lakers have been playing, it looks like the road to the finals still goes through L.A.

At the southern end of the playoff races, Phoenix, Orlando, and Milwaukee look to be safe, although they all still have some business to complete. And, of course, Milwaukee has memories of last year to haunt them.

In baseball, the weather could claim Boston's home opener today, and the Yankee game is also in jeopardy. If you hold Pedro, don't drop him until you know he's pitched. Boston has said they may hold him back even if today's game is played. And tomorrow's forecast in Boston is not good, either.

4/10 - If you didn't have him prior to yesterday's start, you'll probably want him prior to his next one. Because he's living up to all the Prior hype. And he's now ranked as the top player in year-to-date TSNP production.

The same could be said for Jose Cruz, although his hype was about 5 years prior. (Remember the outfield of Junior, Junior, and Buhner?) He's now assumed the top ranking in hitting production.

Of course, the "must have" players have been shifting several times per week. It wasn't long ago that Corey Patterson was the one in demand. Then it was Carl Crawford, followed by Reggie Sanders. Yet today, Sanders ranks only 16th among hitters, while Crawford is now 37th and Patterson 63rd. Let this serve as a reminder that the season is long, and early-season hot streaks are magnified out of proportion. I'm not saying you shouldn't have jumped on these guys. I am suggesting that what goes up must come down, and you probably don't have enough trades to successfully capture all of the early season gains without risking the inevitable reversals. That will become even more apparent over the next couple of weeks. Been there, done that.

4/9 - The NBA slate was pretty full last night, and one player stood out above the crowd. Jermaine O'Neal put up 74 TSNP, more than 20 ahead of the next best. With Ben Wallace going on the shelf, you'd think that perhaps Jermaine would have picked up some new ownership. But only 4 of the 140+ teams in the RotoGuru rankings had him. I wouldn't be surprised if his ownership picks up later in the week, though, as Indy finishes with 4 games in the final 6 days.

Michael Jordan was the runner-up with 51.5 TSNP, his third consecutive game in the 50s. As long as the Wizards remain in the playoff hunt, Michael seems destined to be the man. And his efforts are keeping them in the playoff hunt as well.

In baseball, the weather cleared somewhat, and six pitchers posted 3-digit TSNP totals. In the curiosity department, check out the leading shortstops this morning. The list is headed by both Alex Gonzalezes (what is the plural of Gonzalez?). I wonder how many managers will get confused, picking up one when they really wanted the other?

4/8 - The key to Syracuse's victory last night was evidently their stifling free throw defense, holding Kansas to just 12 of 30 from the foul line. Coaching brilliance!

One of the keys to winning the Market Madness Contest was owning Syracuse in all three of its incarnations: alone, and as part of the #3 seed basket and Big East basket. Yet, 11 of the top 12 finishers did that, so evidently the other games also played an important role.

The best possible result was G$1036, which would have required the following entry:
Long teams: Syracuse, Marquette, Kansas, Michigan State, Butler Auburn
Long baskets: #3 seeds, Big East, Conference USA, Big 10
Short teams: Wake Forest, Florida
Short baskets: #1 seeds, #2 seeds, #4 seeds, #8 seeds, SEC, Atlantic 10, ACC, Pac 10

Congratulations to Grand Prize winner tfaber3, whose result of G$691 was 65% of the best possible score. The best result excluding basket units belonged to PGunn2, who nosed out the runner-up on the second tiebreaker criteria.

Please review the GuruPatron standings one last time, just to ensure that I haven't omitted anyone who should have qualified for prize consideration. After auditing the final returns, prize winners (including booby prize winners) will be notified within the next week or so.

Thanks to everyone who competed this year!

4/7 - The weekend's big stories in fantasy hoops and baseball centered on injuries.

In baseball, Ken Griffey went [poof!] once again. He was pretty widely held in the TSN game. The big news was the impact of his sells on the Sunday price change, as his TSN price declined by more than $600K. Last year, there was evidence of a logarithmic dampening factor in the repricing formula which effectively limited the maximum daily price change to about $200K. This year, that factor has apparently been removed. Trading over the first six days was never focused enough to reveal the change, but yesterday left little doubt. Suffice it to say that the impact of an untimely injury will be much more severe this season. Factor that into your strategies when deciding how many trades to keep in reserve.

The weather is also wreaking havoc. Two games were postponed yesterday. So far, three of today's games have been postponed, and the weather in both Atlanta and Pittburgh is not promising. Seven games were scheduled today. We might not get more than two of them played. With no NBA games scheduled tonight, it looks like the Syracuse-Kansas game won't have much viewing competition.

In hoops, popular players are dropping like bugs from a zapper. Yesterday claimed both Ben Wallace and Vince Carter. While neither is definitely down for the count, the progosis is not promising for either. Other casualties included Chauncey Billups, who took a DNP yesterday, but may be able to play tomorrow. And Allen Iverson gave a scare, although he played well on Sunday. Those who used their last trade to bail on Iverson are probably in deep doodoo this morning. This is all having a significant impact on the worldwide rankings, as well as in many divisional battles. Interesting times.

4/4 - So far, the contra-Detroit strategy is looking like a winning pitching approach. Starters against the Tigers have averaged 121 TSNP/G over the first three games. Over those three games, the Tigers have scored 2 runs on 10 hits, batting a collective .111. But they've got some competition. Opposing starters have also averaged better than 100 TSNP/G against Arizona, Toronto, and Atlanta, as you can see in this report. I realize that the season is young, and these stats will shift substantially over the coming weeks. But I did want to point out (or remind you) that I track stats this way for all three covered games. It is one way you can keep tabs on teams that are hot or slumping.

I'm really behind the 8-ball this "morning", as it is already after 1pm and I'm just getting around to composing today's blurb. Hopefully, once basketball season is over, I'll be able to hit a better stride. By the way, I see that TSN is offering a playoff game for Hoops. I want to let you know in advance that I will not be providing stats for that game, or for the NBA playoffs in general. Playoff fantasy hoops generally attracts a very light following, and it is simply not an efficient use of my time or resources to produce postseason stats and analysis. Feel free to play, but recognize that you'll be on your own.

4/3 - We've all made boneheaded moves at times. So we can all imagine how the fan who immediately threw back ARod's 300th home run ball must feel.

Baseball stats continue to shake down. Corey Patterson has already slipped to 5th in total hitting TSNP, and while a few players have had great games, it's not at all clear that anyone has set themselves up to be the early stud - in any price range. Those who quickly swapped from Doug Glanville have already given up 43 TSNP in return for a quick $170K. Worth it? Only time will tell.

On the pitching side, 6 of the top 25 pitchers in total TSNP are priced below $2 mil. Once again, it's too early to separate the wheat from the chaff. Most certainly, though, several of them will become chaff very quickly. Thresh carefully.

4/2 - The next two weeks will be hectic, with hoops and baseball both in full swing. For many, I'm sure that fantasy hoops management can be relegated to an afterhought by this stage of the season. That's often the case with me, too, but this year I'll be staying focused - for obvious reasons. That might put my baseball teams at an early disadvantage, but so be it.

With six pitching trades already available in TSN Ultimate baseball, there are plenty of options for those with itchy trigger fingers. So far, those starting with a Johnson to Schilling rotation haven't gotten much bang for their buck, as those two have combined for only 70 TSNP. Now, if you went from Nomo to Schmidt instead, you're probably already starting to spend that prize money. I usually take a more conservative approach at the beginning of the season, skipping some stud starts while learning a lot just by observing. It's one reason why my teams always start slow, but allows me to accumulate some trades, and better assess who the early bargains and price movers will turn out to be. Pitching trades are valuable not only because of their ability to access additional starts, but also as a means to generate price gains. With pitcher prices based on the trailing 5 days of trades, sustained gains are easier to anticipate for pitchers vs. hitters. At least, that's my story, and I'm sticking to it! Just don't look at my baseball ranking until mid-June, unless you want a good laugh.

4/1 - Everything seems so magnified after the first full day of the baseball season. That rampant clicking sound you heard last night and this morning was from hordes of TSN managers, clicking buttons to drop players who went 1-4 in order to pick up Corey Patterson. Time will tell whether that's a good move. And if you hear any moans of anguish, it's from managers who almost drafted Patterson, or perhaps from managers of teams with any of the following: Alan Embree, Tom Glavine, Mike DeJean, or even Josh Beckett. Pedro owners feel cheated. Randy Johnson and Derek Jeter owners are forlorn. The list goes on an on... "If only..."

Buck up, Gurududes! There's plenty of time to recover. And yesterday's boneheaded pickup could look like a jewel by tonight (unless, of course, it was Jeter.)

I think I have all of the baseball features up and running now. Here's the rundown, for those who may be unfamiliar (or who need a refresher):

• Yesterday's points - a sortable listing of all points produced the prior day, for each of the TSN, Swirve, and PSC games. Usually updated by 9am (along with the other pages), although I had today's version done before midnight last night, since all games were over by then.
• Sortable stats - also colloquially known as the "sartibles", here's your one stop source for recent or YTD performance, price changes, and averages per eligible game. There are several period options for both points and price changes, so you can easily see who has been hot for the last 7, 15, or 30 days, or how the price changes have been for the past day or 2, week, or year. Again, stats and prices for all three games are available.
• Assimilator - a good place to mix and match roster options before committing yourself at the game sites. Seven day point lookbacks, and a moveable 14-day schedule lookahead. Most inactive players have been stripped out of the standard version now, so it runs and loads faster than it did during the preseason.
• Player detail history - daily point and price histories, with links to new sources (RotoWire, RotoWorld, and ESPN). You can also drill back to prior year details.
• Schedule grid - a color coded schedule matrix of all MLB teams. I find it a useful way to view all schedules side by side.

Click here for prior daily blurbs, by month: